Ever dream of beating the house playing Roulette? Chances are you’ve looked at a bunch of strategy guides to help you try and figure out the best way to bust the house. Sure, you want to play within the law, so fixing roulette balls or relying on tossing chips on the table when no one is looking are a definite no-no, not just because it’s against the law, but also because it might mean getting your knees broken by overzealous bouncers.

You’ve tried everything. Betting more when you’ve won a spin and betting lest when you’ve lost. Or doing the reverse. Everyone has a different idea of what makes for the best roulette betting system and it seems no one can agree.

Except, of course, for scientists. Using the chaos theory, scientists were able to predict the result of a roulette game, modeling the motion of the wheel and the ball. Their predictions worked in both simulation mode and by using a real roulette wheel.

Here’s what it’s all about. First, the scientist took note of how much time it took for a ball to move beyond a fixed point. This gave the scientists a fairly rough idea of the velocity of the ball.

With these measurements, scientists were able to hypothesize which half of the wheel the ball would end up dropping. And their odds of predicting correctly were 59%, which is greater than the odds of hitting evens or odds on a roulette wheel.

Now, that number might not seem so high, but consider this. Under normal betting circumstances, an average roulette player (using no betting system of course) has a rate of return of -2.7%. For those who aren’t great at math, that means losing. With the chaos theory math in play, the rate of return was a whopping 18%.

These numbers could climb even higher. By looking for roulette wheels where the ball drops only from one specific side of the rim, you could increase your odds. That means looking for a slightly crooked table.

And finding one might be easier than you think. The natural course of play means that roulette wheel could end up slightly tilted over time. Or a slight change in the foundation over time could mean that a table becomes slightly angled. While you might not notice with the naked eye, by observing carefully and paying attention, it could benefit you.

But don’t get too excited. The big casinos tend to calibrate their tables constantly, checking the balance of tables and roulette wheels frequently. And casinos that notice a higher-than-normal win rate will do everything in their power to figure out if the physics of the table and wheel are working against them.

Still, it could be fun giving the Chaos Theory a try. Just remember, it won’t work at online casinos because there’s actually no physics in play. Unless, of course, you choose to play the live dealer version of the game – which is readily available at Silver Oak Casino.


Simon is an overactive gambler and the Staff Writer here at Silver Oak. He loves casino bonuses, online slots, and using the em dash too often. Currently, he rests his typing hands in Vancouver, Canada.